{"id":6124,"date":"2023-06-27T07:30:00","date_gmt":"2023-06-27T05:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.enviblog.cz\/blog\/?p=6124"},"modified":"2023-06-24T18:59:48","modified_gmt":"2023-06-24T16:59:48","slug":"predpovidat-letni-bourky-je-velmi-zradne","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.enviblog.cz\/blog\/2023\/06\/27\/predpovidat-letni-bourky-je-velmi-zradne\/","title":{"rendered":"P\u0159edpov\u00eddat letn\u00ed bou\u0159ky je velmi zr\u00e1dn\u00e9"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t

P\u0159edpov\u00eddat letn\u00ed bou\u0159ky je velmi zr\u00e1dn\u00e9 a p\u0159esn\u011b ur\u010dit, kde se vyskytnou a jak budou siln\u00e9, neum\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd model ani meteorolog.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>

Nejprve si uka\u017eme \u010dty\u0159i radarov\u00e9 sn\u00edmky z 21. \u010dervna 2023, kter\u00e9 jsou z oblasti na jih od Brna. Tyto \u010dty\u0159i sn\u00edmky od sebe d\u011bl\u00ed pouze 30 minut. „Z ni\u010deho“ se zde b\u011bhem takto kr\u00e1tk\u00e9 doby vytvo\u0159ila intenzivn\u00ed bou\u0159ka s krupobit\u00edm.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

\n\t\t\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\"\"\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\"\"\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\"\"\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\"\"\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t

V p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b, \u017ee jsou p\u0159edpov\u00edd\u00e1ny podm\u00ednky vhodn\u00e9 pro vznik konvektivn\u00edch bou\u0159\u00ed, b\u00fdv\u00e1 vyhl\u00e1\u0161ena v\u00fdstraha o r\u016fzn\u00e9m stupni nebezpe\u010d\u00ed. V tomto sm\u011bru se vych\u00e1z\u00ed z p\u0159edpokladu, \u017ee je lep\u0161\u00ed variantou varovat i za p\u0159edpokladu, \u017ee se nemus\u00ed dan\u00e9 nebezpe\u010d\u00ed vyskytnout, ne\u017e nevarovat a nebezpe\u010dn\u00fd jev se nakonec objev\u00ed.<\/p>

Ka\u017ed\u00e1 p\u0159edpov\u011b\u010f po\u010das\u00ed je o pravd\u011bpodobnosti. V\u00fdstrahy na letn\u00ed bou\u0159ky b\u00fdvaj\u00ed vyhla\u0161ov\u00e1ny pro \u010dasto rozs\u00e1hlej\u0161\u00ed \u00fazem\u00ed, kde je jejich v\u00fdskyt v dan\u00fd den mo\u017en\u00fd. To samoz\u0159ejm\u011b neznamen\u00e1, \u017ee se bou\u0159ky vyskytnou ve v\u0161ech m\u00edstech v ka\u017ed\u00e9 z t\u011bchto oblast\u00ed.<\/p>

Velmi v\u00fdrazn\u00e9 bou\u0159ky byly p\u0159edpov\u00edd\u00e1ny na \u010dtvrtek 22. 6. 2023 ve\u010der. V platnosti byla v\u00fdstraha nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00edho stupn\u011b nebezpe\u010d\u00ed. P\u0159esto\u017ee byly nakonec bou\u0159ky na na\u0161em \u00fazem\u00ed m\u00e9n\u011b siln\u00e9 a v men\u0161\u00edm rozsahu ne\u017e se p\u0159edpokl\u00e1dalo (v\u011bt\u0161ina bou\u0159kov\u00e9 aktivity se odehr\u00e1la na z\u00e1pad od n\u00e1s v N\u011bmecku, kde bou\u0159ky byly velmi siln\u00e9 a doprov\u00e1zen\u00e9 a\u017e 5cm kroupami), rozhodn\u011b nelze \u0159\u00edci, \u017ee by byla p\u0159edpov\u011b\u010f „\u0161patn\u011b“, jak bohu\u017eel n\u011bkter\u00e1 media tuto situaci vyhodnotila.\u00a0<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

\n\t\t\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\"\"\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t

Sp\u00ed\u0161e jde v tomto p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b o nepochopen\u00ed toho, co n\u00e1m p\u0159edpov\u011b\u010f vlastn\u011b \u0159\u00edk\u00e1 a co znamen\u00e1 v\u00fdstraha. Je pot\u0159eba v\u017edy myslet na to, \u017ee se jedn\u00e1 o pravd\u011bpodobnost a nejlep\u0161\u00ed mo\u017en\u00fd odhad v\u00fdvoje situace a rad\u011bji p\u0159ijmout preventivn\u00ed opat\u0159en\u00ed ne\u017e b\u00fdt n\u00e1sledn\u011b nemile p\u0159ekvapen n\u011bjak\u00fdm nebezpe\u010dn\u00fdm jevem.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

\n\t\t\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t

N\u011bkter\u00e9 koment\u00e1\u0159e a \u010dl\u00e1nky v m\u00e9di\u00edch lze br\u00e1t i pozitivn\u011b – ukazuj\u00ed na nedostate\u010dn\u00e9 znalosti v oblasti interpretace a pochopen\u00ed v\u00fdstrah a p\u0159edpov\u011bd\u00ed po\u010das\u00ed a ukazuj\u00ed na n\u011bco, \u010demu je pot\u0159eba tak\u00e9 v\u011bnovat pozornost nad r\u00e1mec samotn\u00fdch p\u0159edpov\u011bd\u00ed a varov\u00e1n\u00ed.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

\n\t\t\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t

Na z\u00e1v\u011br jen dopl\u0148me, \u017ee aktu\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00fdstrahy m\u016f\u017eete sledovat hned z n\u011bkolika zdroj \u010cHM\u00da. T\u00edm prvn\u00edm je web \u010cHM\u00da, str\u00e1nka V\u00fdstrah<\/a>.\u00a0<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

\n\t\t\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\"\"\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t

Dal\u0161\u00ed mo\u017enost\u00ed je vyu\u017eit\u00ed mobiln\u00ed aplikace \u010cHM\u00da, kter\u00e1 je dostupn\u00e1 jak pro opera\u010dn\u00ed syst\u00e9my Android<\/a>, tak iOS<\/a>. V aplikaci je nav\u00edc mo\u017en\u00e9 nastavit si vybran\u00e9 oblasti z\u00e1jmu a v\u00fdstrahy jsou n\u00e1sledn\u011b hned po vyd\u00e1n\u00ed zas\u00edl\u00e1ny u\u017eivateli formou push notifikace p\u0159\u00edmo do telefonu.\u00a0<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

\n\t\t\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\"\"\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t

V\u00fdstrahy lze sledovat tak\u00e9 na profilu \u010cHM\u00da na soci\u00e1ln\u00edch s\u00edt\u00edch (Facebook, Twitter), kde jsou samotn\u00e9 informace o v\u00fdstrah\u00e1ch dopln\u011bny i koment\u00e1\u0159em a dal\u0161\u00edmi aktu\u00e1ln\u00edmi informacemi.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

P\u0159edpov\u00eddat letn\u00ed bou\u0159ky je velmi zr\u00e1dn\u00e9 a p\u0159esn\u011b ur\u010dit, kde se vyskytnou a jak budou siln\u00e9, neum\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd model ani meteorolog. Nejprve si uka\u017eme \u010dty\u0159i radarov\u00e9 sn\u00edmky z 21. \u010dervna 2023, kter\u00e9 jsou z oblasti na jih od Brna. Tyto \u010dty\u0159i sn\u00edmky od sebe d\u011bl\u00ed pouze 30 minut. „Z ni\u010deho“ se zde b\u011bhem takto kr\u00e1tk\u00e9 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":6125,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[3],"tags":[137,169],"coauthors":[19],"class_list":["post-6124","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-pocasi","tag-bourka","tag-predpoved","entry","has-media"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/www.enviblog.cz\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/bourka.png","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/pa1A1I-1AM","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enviblog.cz\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6124","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enviblog.cz\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enviblog.cz\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enviblog.cz\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enviblog.cz\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6124"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/www.enviblog.cz\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6124\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":6137,"href":"https:\/\/www.enviblog.cz\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6124\/revisions\/6137"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enviblog.cz\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/6125"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enviblog.cz\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6124"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enviblog.cz\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6124"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enviblog.cz\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6124"},{"taxonomy":"author","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enviblog.cz\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/coauthors?post=6124"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}